MarketsBusiness
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 26 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN8 levels open1 closedResearch 1d ago
↓ $244 60%↓ $240 56%↑ $264 55%↓ $236 37%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
8 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 closed level
8 options trading. +5 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $27622%19%−3
↑ $26455%44%−11
↑ $26076%56%−20
↑ $25691%70%−21
↓ $24460%74%+14
↓ $24056%61%+5
+2 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ $256
70%
21 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ $276No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
↑ $264No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
↓ $244No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
↓ $236No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
↓ $224No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
3 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↑ $256 resolves Yes if any 1-minute AMZN candle on Pyth (pythdata.app, Equity.US.AMZN/USD) has a High at or above the listed price during regular trading hours (about 9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET) at any time in the week of October 26, 2026, after market creation. Otherwise it resolves No. Pre-market and after-hours prices don't count. Prices are used as Pyth publishes them, without rounding, and split-adjusted if a split occurs. If Pyth data is unavailable, the exchange's official daily high/low decides…
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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