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Will Apple release a new product line before 2028?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 16m agoPolymarket 24h vol $0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2028? 78%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
1 level openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Will Apple release a new product line before 2028?No smart money78%
1 open level, in level order.
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OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple launches a new product line between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is an Apple-branded hardware product that establishes a distinct product category based on its functionality and intended use. A new name alone is insufficient, and reuse of a previous product name does not disqualify an otherwise qualifying product. New models, sizes, generations, editions, or renamed versions of an existing product family will not qualify solely because they introduce a new design, form factor, feature, or name. However, a product may qualify if its functionality and intended use establish a distinct product category, even if it shares features, technology, or branding with an existing Apple product. Products Apple has sold before market creation, including HomeView, and subsequent updates to those products will not qualify unless those updates independently meet the criteria for a new product line. For example, the original Apple Vision Pro and HomeView launches constituted new product lines; iPhone Air and AirPods Pro 3 did not. Software, services, accessories (e.g., cases, chargers, keyboards, or Apple Pencil), and Beats-branded products will not qualify. An accessory is hardware whose primary purpose is to support, control, or extend the functionality of another product, rather than perform a distinct primary function of its own. Compatibility with, or a setup requirement involving, another device does not alone make a product an accessory. A product is considered launched when it becomes officially available to public customers, through delivery or physical purchase. The primary resolution source will be official information from Apple, including Apple Newsroom and the Apple Store; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.