Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 06:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $20.1

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? 12%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?12%———

1 option trading.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.