How do I trade on "Will Cashmere launch a token by December 31, 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will Cashmere launch a token by ___?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 2d ago

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

June 30, 2027 67%March 31, 2027 63%December 31, 2026 48%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 202648%+2.0 pts49%none

March 31, 202763%+0.5 pts62%none

June 30, 202767%+2.5 pts69%none

3 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

December 31, 202648%49%+1

March 31, 202763%62%−1

June 30, 202767%69%+2

AI analysts' average · December 31, 2026

49%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 22h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: The market resolves Yes if Cashmere officially launches its own token, actively and publicly tradable, by 11:59 PM ET on the date in the title. The token must launch after the market was created. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens do not count, and announcements alone do not count. The source is @cashmerelabs and credible reporting.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cashmere officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cashmere after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cashmere (https://x.com/cashmerelabs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How markets resolve