MarketsBusiness
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 8d ago
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 7%
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Will GameStop acquire eBay?7%7%0
AI analysts' average · Will GameStop acquire eBay?
7%
level with the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 394–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if GameStop or eBay officially announces by 2026-12-31 11:59 PM ET that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, with GameStop gaining a controlling interest (more than 50%) in eBay. A non-binding bid, a minority stake, or an investment without control does not count. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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