María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 levels open2 closedResearch 3d ago
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
0 levels open · in level order
2 closed levels
0 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · October 31
94 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 359 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Rules
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- In plain English
- October 31 resolves Yes if María Corina Machado physically enters Venezuelan land territory between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date in 2026. Airspace or maritime entry doesn't count. Resolution is by consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise it resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.