MarketsCrypto
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN7 levels openResearch 1h ago
June 30, 2027 99%December 31, 2026 98%November 15, 2026 96%October 31, 2026 53%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
7 levels open · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
7 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
October 31, 202653%14%−39
November 30, 202699%82%−17
November 15, 202696%78%−18
December 31, 202698%89%−9
March 31, 2027>99%92%−7
June 30, 202799%94%−5
+1 more option
AI analysts' average · October 31, 2026
14%
39 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 0 price closer, on 312–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
December 31, 2026Yes DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LornaPredictsLornaPredicts: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T28 DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1AskingoAskingo: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 LornaPredictsLornaPredicts: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T28 · 1
October 31, 2026Yes DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No mefirofanmefirofan: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1AskingoAskingo: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 mefirofanmefirofan: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1daweishashaxdaweishashax: Tier 2, #24 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 · 3
November 30, 2026Yes DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1AskingoAskingo: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2paghoolpaghool: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 · 2
March 31, 2027Yes mefirofanmefirofan: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 mefirofanmefirofan: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1yooo23782378yooo23782378: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2paghoolpaghool: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
November 15, 2026Yes DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LornaPredictsLornaPredicts: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 DokklDokkl: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1AskingoAskingo: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 LornaPredictsLornaPredicts: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
June 30, 2027Yes balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No paghoolpaghool: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2pp101pp101: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 paghoolpaghool: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
September 30, 2027Yes pp101pp101: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 pp101pp101: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 balthazarbalthazar: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if predict.fun officially launches a governance token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. Otherwise No. Announcements alone do not count.
- Watch out
- Only a token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable by 11:59 PM ET on the option date counts. An announcement alone does not.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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