Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 3d ago
Yoon out of custody before 2027? 3%
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Yoon out of custody before 2027?
1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 359–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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1 option: no ranked trader holds it
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if Yoon Suk Yeol is released from state custody (house arrest, parole or bond count) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Transfers between custody facilities don't count. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.