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Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openResearch 3d ago

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Yoon out of custody before 2027? 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Yoon out of custody before 2027?3%−0.2 pts4%none

1 option trading.

AI analysts

2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Yoon out of custody before 2027?3%4%+1

AI analysts' average · Yoon out of custody before 2027?

4%

1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Track record

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 18m ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

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Rules

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In plain English
Resolves Yes if Yoon Suk Yeol is released from state custody (house arrest, parole or bond count) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Transfers between custody facilities don't count. Otherwise No.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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