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MarketsSmart moneyResearchPlus
Smart money/lava-lava

lava-lava

Tier 2 · Elections (all) #33
Polymarket profile

3-month profit · 2 segments

+$29,978

+2.6% return on money put in

Ranks in
of top
Elections (all)
#33 of 50
World electionsTier 2 since Oct 20 · from Tier 3
#46 of 50

1P&L: Polymarket's own P&L for this account, all markets.Plus

Whole account, all markets
Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2By segmentPlus

rank, profit, return, markets and win rate in each of 2

3Open positions on Kellian markets

8 open today
MarketSideSharesValueEntryNow
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes42,266$13,73629¢33¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes18,130$7,91437¢44¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No11,061$7,35660¢67¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes10,874$5,76371¢53¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No16,429$5,50429¢34¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10,000$1,55019¢16¢
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No6,386$92618¢15¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes7,222$2274¢3¢

4Recent movesPlus

2 on today's markets

5Trading stylePlus

over the last 12 months

6Markouts: How far the price moved after this trader's buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢), from the price they paid. 10M: median of their taker buys. 1D and 1W: size-weighted average of all their buys. Last 3 months.Plus

3M

7Weekly P&L: Profit and loss in this topic for each of the last 12 complete weeks (Monday to Sunday, UTC), with open positions at market price.Plus

12W

8Calibration: How often their positions paid out, compared with the price they paid. Markets settled in the last 3 months.Plus

3M