MarketsPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 optionsResearch 6h ago
Flavio Bolsonaro 72%Lula 29%
2 options · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
2 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Flavio Bolsonaro72%56%−16
Lula29%27%−2
AI analysts' average · Lula
27%
2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
Flavio Bolsonaro: AI 56% vs market 72%, 16 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Flavio Bolsonaro96 · 3
Lula64 · 2
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
