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Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 options

Polymarket chance · top 3 of 3 options

5 7%4 2%<4 2%

3 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<42%−3.5 pts—1 · 0
42%−7.8 pts—1 · 0
57%−23.7 pts—2 · 1

3 open levels, in level order. +3 more on Polymarket

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Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5Yes lava-lava T1 No mr.ozi T12 lava-lava T1BiDiFakePolls T2 1 mr.ozi T12 · 1
<4Yes lava-lava T11 lava-lava T101 · 0
4Yes lava-lava T11 lava-lava T101 · 0

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

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Rules

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Resolution criteria
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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