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Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Dec 24, 2026

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 4 options

87.5% to 90% 15%90% to 92.5% 5%92.5%+ 3%<82.5% <1%

4 options · in level order

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<82.5%<1%———
87.5% to 90%15%−0.5 pts15%none
90% to 92.5%5%−0.6 pts——
92.5%+3%+0.5 pts——

4 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<82.5%<1%——
87.5% to 90%15%15%0
90% to 92.5%5%——
92.5%+3%——

AI analysts' average · <82.5%

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
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Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 90% and 92.5%?

<82.5% · Buy YesOption 1 of 4

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Before you decide · <82.5%

  • News0 today
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
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