MarketsPolitics
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 10h ago
0% chance
AI analysts 7% (7)Top traders 8 Yes · 3 NoAI analysts
- 7%
No verified resolving post count supplied; market prior.
- 4%
The tracker count is unavailable; the sharp near-deadline market move is more informative than historical weekly totals.
- 7%
Market prior; qualifying live post count unavailable.
- 1%
No qualifying live post count supplied; market baseline.
- 1%
No live qualifying post count was supplied, so the current market remains the best available estimate.
- 18%
No tracker count; prior week near 280-299.
- 10%
No current qualifying post count; use the live market prior.
Full research · updated 10h ago
What decides it
Yes if the xtracker.The source market 'Post Counter' total for @elonmusk, from 2026-10-09 12:00 ET to 2026-10-16 12:00 ET, is 300-319. It counts main feed posts, quote posts and reposts. Replies are excluded, except replies shown on the main feed that the tracker counts.
Latest
I could not retrieve the current tracker count for Oct 9-16.
www.rootdata.comA prior week (Oct 2-9, 2026) had a 280-299 bracket market, so weekly totals near that range are plausible. (RootData)
www.rootdata.com
What to watch next Window closes 2026-10-16 12:00 ET
Sources
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
7%
7 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts
Top traders
Top traders11 of the top 36 social media traders hold this8 Yes · 3 No
See who they are, their side and latest moves.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
