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MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN20 options2 closedCloses Oct 28, 2026Research 1d ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 20 options

280-299 18%300-319 17%260-279 14%320-339 14%

20 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
160-179<1%−0.3 pts1%none
180-199<1%−1.1 pts8%1 · 0
200-2192%−2.3 pts12%none
220-2394%−4.1 pts13%2 · 1
240-2599%−2.0 pts12%1 · 0
260-27914%−1.0 pts13%1 · 0
280-29918%+4.0 pts10%2 · 0
300-31917%+3.0 pts8%1 · 0
320-33914%+2.5 pts6%none
340-35910%+2.3 pts6%none
360-3796%+1.1 pts6%none
380-3994%+0.3 pts4%none
400-4192%−0.6 pts2%none
420-4391%−0.6 pts2%1 · 0
460-479<1%−0.7 pts1%1 · 0
480-499<1%−0.2 pts1%1 · 0
500-519<1%−0.2 pts1%2 · 0
520-539<1%−0.1 pts1%1 · 0
540-559<1%—1%none
580+<1%−0.2 pts1%none
2 closed options
60-79————
100-119————

20 options trading. +8 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
160-179<1%1%+1
180-199<1%8%+7
200-2192%12%+10
220-2394%13%+9
240-2599%12%+3
260-27914%13%−1
+14 more options

AI analysts' average · 360-379

6%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

200-219: AI 12% vs market 2%, 10 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1d
    Elon Musk Thinks $3.5 Trillion Tesla-SpaceX Mashup Is a Good Idea
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1d
    Will Elon Musk Help the Ellisons Pay Down Skydance's Massive Debt? John Malone Thinks So
    Variety
  • 1d
    Is Elon Musk a Double Agent?
    OB Rag
  • 1d
    Elon Musk’s Starlink Speed Cap Has Scrambled Ukraine’s Defenses
    WSJ
  • 1d
    Live by the sword , die by the sword : Elon Musk warns Kara Swisher after she says what coming for him if Trump loses Congress
    economictimes.indiatimes.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Confirms Talks For Potential SpaceX - Tesla Merger
    rttnews.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX revenue surges 161% as Elon Musk addresses potential Tesla merger
    Fox Business
  • 1d
    Pentagon denies restricting Ukraine’s Starlink access amid report involving Elon Musk
    41NBC News
  • 1d
    AI Rivals Are Thirsty for SpaceX's Compute, Elon Musk Says
    Business Insider
  • 1d
    Vivian Wilson, Model and Elon Musk’s Estranged Daughter, Signs With Echo Lake Entertainment (EXCLUSIVE)
    Variety
  • 1d
    AI Price Prediction : We Asked Elon Musk Grok if XRP Can Get Back to $2 by the End of 2027
    aol.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk supports SpaceX , Tesla merger | The Manila Times
    manilatimes.net
  • 1d
    Elon Musk’s New Tesla’s 2028 Roadster Takes Off—Literally
    Mansion Global
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Faces Calls for Investigation After May Have Broken the Law
    radaronline.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk SpaceX reports a profit and he hints at a possible merger with Tesla - Boston News , Weather , Sports
    whdh.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk endorses Ken Paxton in Texas U . S . Senate race
    kfoxtv.com
  • 1d
    Roseanne Barr Gets the Cold Shoulder From Elon Musk
    Yahoo
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Pledges SpaceX Shares to American Children
    401k Specialist
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says ASML and other critical semiconductor equipment suppliers will expedite shipments to Terafab facility targets volume chip production by Q3 - Q4 , 2028 , in highly aspirational timeline
    tomshardware.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Says ‘I’ve Never Seen Anything Grow This Fast.’ One Product is the Key to Musk’s Plans to Cross $1 Trillion in Revenue.
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Brian Fitzpatrick calls for investigation into Elon Musk’s reported actions in Ukraine
    Inquirer.com
  • 1d
    Seth Meyers on Elon Musk: ‘Nobody likes him’
    The Guardian
  • 1d
    Elon Musk admits he 'got carried away' leading DOGE
    Mashable
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Just Dropped a Big Hint About SpaceX’s $28.5 Trillion Opportunity — ‘It Is Vastly Higher Than That’
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Elon Musk names his best musician of all - time
    pmnewsnigeria.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk and U.S. Government point fingers at each other amid Starlink outage
    KXLY.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk’s SpaceX Share Giveaway Isn’t Charity. It’s the Longest Game in Marketing
    Inc.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Thinks Elon Musk’s Companies Should Merge
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Elon Musk May Have Ended the October AI Crash as NVIDIA, Intel, and SanDisk Rally after One SpaceX Quote
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 1d
    John Malone Predicts a Major Deal Between Skydance and Elon Musk’s SpaceX
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Says There’s ‘A Lot of Merit’ to Tesla and SpaceX Merging. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks
    Investopedia
  • 1d
    Elon Musk's merger math
    Axios
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Is A Trillionaire Again As SpaceX, Tesla Surge Pushes Net Worth Up $88 Billion
    Forbes
  • 1d
    Elon Musk & Larry Ellison Will Join Forces To Boost Both Starlink And Skydance, John Malone Predicts
    Deadline
  • 1d
    Elon Musk drops $500K on NY Rep. Mike Lawler's re-election bid
    Gothamist
  • 1d
    Space X and Tesla exploring merger, CEO Elon Musk says
    Axios
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Says SpaceX, Tesla Exploring Merger; Satellite Company's Shares Rally
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Beloved indie film and TV star stuns fans by praising Trump and Elon Musk
    marinij.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX and Tesla Form Merger Exploration Committee That Excludes Elon Musk
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    Trump administration points to Elon Musk over orders for Starlink slowdown on Ukraine
    CNBC
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says SpaceX hitting $1 trillion in revenue in 2028 is 'no longer impossible'
    Business Insider
  • 1d
    Watch Elon Musk Backs Tesla-SpaceX Mega Merger
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1d
    Is Elon Musk the October Surprise?
    WSJ
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Ordered Ukraine Starlink Slowdown Despite Saying US Military Controls Limits, Says WSJ
    UNITED24 Media
  • 1d
    One week after crushing neocloud stocks like CoreWeave and Nebius with a single word, SpaceX's Elon Musk is out with another word that is less dire
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Elon Musk's SpaceX is now mostly an AI company: Chart of the Day
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Rockets, robots and risk: Elon Musk’s $3.6tn gamble to merge Tesla and SpaceX
    Financial Times
  • 1d
    Elon Musk confirms SpaceX and Tesla merger talks as shares jump
    CoinDesk
  • 1d
    Why Elon Musk Wants to Merge SpaceX and Tesla
    Time Magazine
  • 1d
    Elon Musk confirms he is considering merging Tesla and SpaceX
    BBC
  • 1d
    ‘Tap-dancing through a minefield’: Elon Musk’s $3.5 trillion Tesla-SpaceX merger talks expose his power—and scant accountability
    Fortune
  • 1d
    Tesla and SpaceX: Why does Elon Musk want to merge the companies?
    BBC
  • 1d
    Elon Musk’s SpaceX posts first profit since going public
    The Washington Post
  • 1d
    Elon Musk backs SpaceX-Tesla merger as rocket firm turns profit
    Euronews.com
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says SpaceX and Tesla exploring largest merger in history
    Al Jazeera
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says SpaceX-Tesla merger is 'a good idea'
    Reuters
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Teases Tesla Merger and $1 Trillion Milestone for SpaceX
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia Stock Pops After Hours As Elon Musk Says SpaceX Is Adding 200,000 Chips a Month — Daniel Newman Says NVDA Is 'Ripping'
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Elon Musk spends millions in Arizona’s toss-up congressional races
    AZ Family
  • 1d
    Elon Musk and Dario Amodei Are Offering Gifts—With Strings Attached
    The Atlantic
  • 1d
    Elon Musk chose to throttle Ukraine’s access to Starlink without consulting White House: report
    New York Post
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says Tesla and SpaceX are weighing a $3.5 trillion merger—without him in the room
    Fortune
  • 1d
    Tesla and SpaceX Formed Committees to Discuss Potential Merger, Elon Musk Says
    WSJ
  • 1d
    SpaceX will attempt 1st-ever double Starship rocket catch on next test launch, Elon Musk says
    Space
  • 1d
    Ferrari CEO rates Tesla Roadster launch '10 out of 10,' thanks Elon Musk for daring to innovate
    Fox Business
  • 1d
    Elon Musk ordered Starlink slowdown for Ukraine: Report
    CNBC
  • 1d
    Elon Musk ordered the Starlink restrictions that disabled Ukrainian drones, defenses - report
    The Jerusalem Post
  • 2d
    If Elon Musk gifts SpaceX stock through Trump Accounts, it will come with a catch
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Capitol agenda: Dem gavels are coming for Elon Musk
    Politico
  • 2d
    Democrats have a message for Elon Musk: Watch out
    Politico
  • 2d
    Elon Musk promises Tesla Roadster buyers a loop track to test its capabilities
    Auto Trader NZ
  • 2d
    Texas Democratic candidate for governor sues to review emails between Elon Musk and Greg Abbott
    NBC News
  • 3d
    Elon Musk vows to give a share of SpaceX stock to every US child
    ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
  • 3d
    Elon Musk says he plans to gift a SpaceX share to every child in the U.S.
    CBS News
  • 3d
    Elon Musk says he will give a SpaceX share to ‘every kid in America’
    CNN
  • 3d
    Elon Musk pledges to give every child in America a SpaceX share next year
    Fox Business
  • 3d
    Elon Musk says he is going to give SpaceX stock away to kids
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Democrats — and Elon Musk — continue to dominate midterm campaign fundraising
    NPR
  • 3d
    Elon Musk says he'll give a SpaceX share to every child in America next year
    CNBC
  • 5d
    Opinion | Elon Musk Is Beyond the Pale
    The New York Times
  • 6d
    With Tesla Roadster debut, Elon Musk shows "flying cars are real"
    CBS News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 5h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
220-23932 · 1
280-29922 · 0
500-51922 · 0
180-19911 · 0
240-25911 · 0
260-27911 · 0
300-31911 · 0
420-43911 · 0
460-47911 · 0
480-49911 · 0
520-53911 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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360-379 · Buy YesOption 11 of 20

Polymarket price · live

Yes6¢
No94¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · 360-379

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts6% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.