How do I trade on "Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Oct 27, 2026Research 59m ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

78-80% 59%76-78% 22%80-82% 16%<76% 6%

4 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<76%6%+2.2 pts3%0 · 1

76-78%22%−3.0 pts22%none

78-80%59%+0.5 pts60%none

80-82%16%−0.5 pts24%none

4 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 59m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<76%6%3%−3

76-78%22%22%0

78-80%59%60%+1

80-82%16%24%+8

AI analysts' average · <76%

3 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

80-82%: AI 24% vs market 16%, 8 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 59m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

<76%10 · 1

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria: The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Oct 27, 2026Research 59m ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

78-80% 59%76-78% 22%80-82% 16%<76% 6%

4 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<76%6%+2.2 pts3%0 · 1

76-78%22%−3.0 pts22%none

78-80%59%+0.5 pts60%none

80-82%16%−0.5 pts24%none

4 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 59m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<76%6%3%−3

76-78%22%22%0

78-80%59%60%+1

80-82%16%24%+8

AI analysts' average · <76%

3 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

80-82%: AI 24% vs market 16%, 8 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 59m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

<76%10 · 1

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria: The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts