MarketsMovies & TV
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN20 levels openResearch 1h ago
Sam Rockwell 74%Guitarricadelafuente 72%Edward Norton 39%Robert Pattinson 33%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
20 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
20 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Paul Giamatti93%80%−13
Andrew Garfield79%60%−19
Sam Rockwell74%66%−8
John Leguizamo74%44%−30
Guitarricadelafuente72%30%−42
Edward Norton39%46%+7
+14 more options
AI analysts' average · Daniel Craig
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Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
John Leguizamo22 · 0
Guitarricadelafuente11 · 0
Edward Norton10 · 1
John Goodman10 · 1
Tom Holland10 · 1
15 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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