How do I trade on "Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sam Rockwell 75%John Leguizamo 69%Guitarricadelafuente 65%Edward Norton 54%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

16 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Paul Giamatti92%—65%none

Andrew Garfield79%−7.0 pts48%none

Sam Rockwell75%−1.5 pts64%none

John Leguizamo69%−0.5 pts35%1 · 0

Guitarricadelafuente65%+1.5 pts20%none

Edward Norton54%+17.5 pts40%1 · 0

Colman Domingo24%+1.5 pts20%none

Robert Pattinson24%−2.0 pts27%none

John Goodman14%+0.5 pts40%0 · 1

Riz Ahmed14%+2.0 pts14%none

Steve Buscemi10%−1.5 pts25%none

Charles Melton10%—8%none

James Ortiz8%+2.0 pts6%none

Skyler Gisondo7%−1.0 pts4%none

Miles Teller7%+1.9 pts14%none

Antonio Banderas6%−1.1 pts6%none

16 options trading, by chance. +10 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Paul Giamatti92%65%−27

Andrew Garfield79%48%−31

Sam Rockwell75%64%−11

John Leguizamo69%35%−34

Guitarricadelafuente65%20%−45

Edward Norton54%40%−14

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Paul Giamatti

65%

27 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Guitarricadelafuente: AI 20% vs market 65%, 45 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

John Leguizamo11 · 0

Edward Norton11 · 0

John Goodman10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sam Rockwell 75%John Leguizamo 69%Guitarricadelafuente 65%Edward Norton 54%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

16 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Paul Giamatti92%—65%none

Andrew Garfield79%−7.0 pts48%none

Sam Rockwell75%−1.5 pts64%none

John Leguizamo69%−0.5 pts35%1 · 0

Guitarricadelafuente65%+1.5 pts20%none

Edward Norton54%+17.5 pts40%1 · 0

Colman Domingo24%+1.5 pts20%none

Robert Pattinson24%−2.0 pts27%none

John Goodman14%+0.5 pts40%0 · 1

Riz Ahmed14%+2.0 pts14%none

Steve Buscemi10%−1.5 pts25%none

Charles Melton10%—8%none

James Ortiz8%+2.0 pts6%none

Skyler Gisondo7%−1.0 pts4%none

Miles Teller7%+1.9 pts14%none

Antonio Banderas6%−1.1 pts6%none

16 options trading, by chance. +10 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Paul Giamatti92%65%−27

Andrew Garfield79%48%−31

Sam Rockwell75%64%−11

John Leguizamo69%35%−34

Guitarricadelafuente65%20%−45

Edward Norton54%40%−14

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Paul Giamatti

65%

27 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Guitarricadelafuente: AI 20% vs market 65%, 45 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

John Leguizamo11 · 0

Edward Norton11 · 0

John Goodman10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts