MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurity
MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchDeveloperStatusContact

Not affiliated with Polymarket. Information only, not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc. · Recorded on Base

 

MarketsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

 

 

MarketsCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 4h ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ 110,000 8%↑ 120,000 6%↑ 180,000 1%↑ 170,000 1%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

11 levels open · in level order

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ 1,000,000<1%—1%—
↑ 500,000<1%—1%—
↑ 250,000<1%—1%—
↑ 200,000<1%−0.1 pts1%—
↑ 190,000<1%−0.1 pts1%—
↑ 180,0001%−0.2 pts1%—
↑ 170,0001%−0.1 pts1%—
↑ 120,0006%—5%—
↑ 110,0008%−1.0 pts9%—
↓ 15,000<1%—1%—
↓ 5,000<1%—1%—

11 open levels, in level order. +19 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 1,000,000<1%1%+1
↑ 500,000<1%1%+1
↑ 250,000<1%1%+1
↑ 200,000<1%1%0
↑ 190,000<1%1%0
↑ 180,0001%1%0
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ 180,000

1%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 393 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 4h
    ‘CryptoDad’ on stablecoins, bitcoin’s role in a portfolio and why he does not directly own any crypto
    MarketWatch
  • 4h
    Coinbase Now Offers Fixed-Rate Bitcoin-Backed Loans. Here's What Crypto Investors Need to Know.
    The Motley Fool
  • 4h
    Bitcoin Outperforms Grayscale’s AI Compute ETF As AI Cloud Stocks Slide
    Stocktwits
  • 4h
    Franklin Templeton (BEN) Unveils Two ETFs With Bitcoin Exposure Built In
    Yahoo Finance
  • 4h
    MARA Moves 1,000 BTC to BitGo: What It Means for Bitcoin
    CryptoPotato
  • 5h
    Worldcoin (WLD) Price Tumbles While Bitcoin Recovers – Can It Hold $0.40 Support?
    Coinpedia
  • 6h
    Bitcoin price prediction: a 6 percent range in Fed week, what you can do now
    CryptoTicker.io
  • 7h
    VanEck launches Wealth Builder ETF with Bitcoin exposure at 0.26% fee
    Crypto News
  • 7h
    Bitcoin’s next rally could trigger selling from holders of 874,000 BTC
    CryptoSlate
  • 7h
    Michael Saylor’s Strategy Just Formed a Golden Cross. Why Bitcoin Bulls Shouldn’t Expect Another 700% Rally Yet.
    Barchart.com
  • 7h
    Crypto exchange Binance to close Bitcoin mining pool next month
    Data Center Dynamics
  • 7h
    McDonald's McRib Doesn't Actually Boost Bitcoin's Price, Sorry Everyone
    Decrypt
  • 8h
    Bitcoin Below $80,000 as Traders Await U.S. Economic Data, Fed Rate Decision -- Update
    Moomoo
  • 8h
    1D NetFlow: +1,359 $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ (+$108.91M)🟢 7D NetFlow: -2,399 $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ (-$192.3M)🔴
    Moomoo
  • 8h
    Bitcoin faces further downside as oil surge, AI fears weigh on risk appetite
    Investing.com
  • 8h
    Hyperliquid whales turn net short on Bitcoin for first time since March: Glassnode
    TradingView
  • 8h
    Current price of Bitcoin for October 27, 2026
    Fortune
  • 8h
    Bitcoin miners' move into AI is creating a new market for trading computing power
    CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data
  • 8h
    Bitcoin Futures Market Calms, but a New Bull Run Still Needs a Spark
    www.trendingtopics.eu
  • 9h
    Bitcoin mining infrastructure firm Luxor raises $16 million to expand AI business
    The Block
  • 9h
    Tom Lee Sees ‘One of the Biggest Rallies of Our Lifetime’ as $10.8B Bitcoin Options Expiry Looms
    Yahoo Finance
  • 9h
    Why Is Bitcoin Dropping? Fed Risks Keep BTC Below $80K
    Bitcoin Foundation
  • 10h
    Why This Team of Ninjas Is Tripling Down on Mining Bitcoin
    Yahoo Finance
  • 10h
    Bitcoin hovers near $80,000 as AI stock jitters spill into crypto
    TradingView
  • 10h
    New owners of Granada Theater say bitcoin mining won't heat its pools
    WFAA
  • 10h
    Bitcoin drops below $80,000 as crypto ignores Asian tech rally, Fed meeting begins
    CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data
  • 11h
    Bitcoin Hit by Pre-Fed Hesitancy -- Market Talk
    Moomoo
  • 11h
    BTC analysis: Investor who called for AI pivot in 2023 says bitcoin is going to $57,000
    CoinDesk
  • 11h
    Ark Invest buys $5.2 million of Circle shares, sells $15.9 million of its own Bitcoin ETF as BTC grinds lower
    The Block
  • 11h
    BlackRock Just Announced a New Bitcoin ETF. Should You Buy it?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 12h
    Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC consolidates below $80,000 as Middle East tensions, tech earnings loom
    FXStreet
  • 12h
    Bitcoin long-term holders are selling, and some analysts read it as a rally signal
    TradingView
  • 12h
    Bitcoin’s $80,000 Line Is a Macro Bet, Not a Crypto Bet
    Blockhead
  • 13h
    BTC Vs. TAO: Jason Calacanis Says Bitcoin Will Never Hit New Highs, Backs Bittensor Instead
    Stocktwits
  • 13h
    Bitcoin ETFs Own Just 8.5% of BTC as IBIT Ends a Two-Day Outflow Run: Can BTC USD Hold $79,200?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 14h
    Bitcoin and ETH Holders Could Face a Deeper Pullback, Ansem Warns
    Yahoo Finance
  • 18h
    StoneX lifts Strive price target 34% as new stock offering bolsters bitcoin strategy
    The Block
  • 19h
    Do Bitcoin ETF Flows Really Predict Future Bitcoin Price Moves? This New Research Has Important Implications for BTC Investors.
    Yahoo Finance
  • 20h
    10,000 Bitcoin Simulations Say BTC's Median Path to $1M Comes in 2033
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 as AI-Related Market Selloff Deepens
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1d
    The Bitcoin Bull Market Is Finally Here, According to Strategy's Michael Saylor. Could Bitcoin Hit a Price of $100,000 in 2027?
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    Bitcoin Price Teeters At $80,000 As Traders Wait On Fed
    Bitcoin Magazine
  • 1d
    Bitcoin’s Bear Market Is Over, Galaxy Says
    Bitcoin Magazine
  • 1d
    Live news: Bitcoin dips below $80,000 as stocks rally following Anthropic IPO filing
    CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data
  • 1d
    ‘Guppy-Level Death’—Elon Musk Stokes Imminent Price Crash Fears As Bitcoin Suddenly Plummets
    Forbes
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

↑ 180,000 · Buy YesOption 6 of 11

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No99¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 1¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 0¢

Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Kellian never holds your money.

Before you decide · ↑ 180,000

  • News39 today · latest 4h
  • AI analysts1% · level
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.