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MarketsCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 3h ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ 110,000 9%↑ 120,000 6%↑ 180,000 1%↑ 170,000 1%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

11 levels open · in level order

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ 1,000,000<1%—1%—
↑ 500,000<1%—1%—
↑ 250,000<1%—1%—
↑ 200,000<1%—1%—
↑ 190,000<1%—1%—
↑ 180,0001%−0.2 pts1%—
↑ 170,0001%−0.1 pts1%—
↑ 120,0006%—5%—
↑ 110,0009%—9%—
↓ 15,000<1%—1%—
↓ 5,000<1%—1%—

11 open levels, in level order. +19 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 1,000,000<1%1%+1
↑ 500,000<1%1%+1
↑ 250,000<1%1%+1
↑ 200,000<1%1%0
↑ 190,000<1%1%0
↑ 180,0001%1%0
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ 110,000

9%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 393 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How markets resolve
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↑ 110,000 · Buy YesOption 9 of 11

Polymarket price · live

Yes9¢
No92¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 9¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 1¢

Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Kellian never holds your money.

Before you decide · ↑ 110,000

  • AI analysts9% · level
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.