How do I trade on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 45m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

5.4% 41%5.5% 25%5.7% 14%6.0% 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

4 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

5.4%41%+2.0 pts42%2 · 1

5.5%25%+0.3 pts30%2 · 0

5.7%14%—15%1 · 1

6.0%6%−0.1 pts5%0 · 2

4 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 45m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

5.4%41%42%+1

5.5%25%30%+5

5.7%14%15%+1

6.0%6%5%−1

AI analysts' average · 5.5%

30%

5 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

5.5%: AI 30% vs market 25%, 5 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's Fed and rates traders by 3-month profit · updated 43m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5.4%32 · 1

5.5%22 · 0

5.7%21 · 1

6.0%20 · 2

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 45m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

5.4% 41%5.5% 25%5.7% 14%6.0% 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

4 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

5.4%41%+2.0 pts42%2 · 1

5.5%25%+0.3 pts30%2 · 0

5.7%14%—15%1 · 1

6.0%6%−0.1 pts5%0 · 2

4 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 45m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

5.4%41%42%+1

5.5%25%30%+5

5.7%14%15%+1

6.0%6%5%−1

AI analysts' average · 5.5%

30%

5 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

5.5%: AI 30% vs market 25%, 5 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's Fed and rates traders by 3-month profit · updated 43m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5.4%32 · 1

5.5%22 · 0

5.7%21 · 1

6.0%20 · 2

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Related Markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts