How do I trade on "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 3 options

Apple 67%NVIDIA 23%Alphabet 7%

3 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Apple67%+8.5 pts60%1 · 0

NVIDIA23%−4.5 pts27%0 · 2

Alphabet7%−1.0 pts18%none

3 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Apple67%60%−7

NVIDIA23%27%+4

Alphabet7%18%+11

AI analysts' average · Apple

60%

7 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Alphabet: AI 18% vs market 7%, 11 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

NVIDIA20 · 2

Apple11 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 3 options

Apple 67%NVIDIA 23%Alphabet 7%

3 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Apple67%+8.5 pts60%1 · 0

NVIDIA23%−4.5 pts27%0 · 2

Alphabet7%−1.0 pts18%none

3 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Apple67%60%−7

NVIDIA23%27%+4

Alphabet7%18%+11

AI analysts' average · Apple

60%

7 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Alphabet: AI 18% vs market 7%, 11 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

NVIDIA20 · 2

Apple11 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

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2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

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AI analysts

AI analysts