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MarketsAI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 16 options

Google 39%OpenAI 12%Meta 10%SpaceXAI 8%

16 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Google39%+3.0 pts—1 · 0
OpenAI12%−8.0 pts26%none
Meta10%+2.8 pts—none
SpaceXAI8%+0.5 pts—none
Z.ai5%−0.2 pts—none
Tencent5%——none
Baidu4%——none
MiniMax4%——none
Anthropic3%−1.6 pts—0 · 1
Moonshot3%−1.4 pts——
DeepSeek1%——none
Xiaomi<1%——none
Meituan<1%——none
Microsoft<1%——none
Amazon<1%——none
ByteDance———none

16 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Google39%——
OpenAI12%26%+14
Meta10%——
SpaceXAI8%——
Z.ai5%——
Tencent5%——
+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Meituan

—

Biggest gap

OpenAI: AI 26% vs market 12%, 14 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Google11 · 0
Anthropic10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
How markets resolve
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Meituan · Buy YesOption 13 of 16

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Meituan

  • News0 today
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.