OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Polymarket's social media traders by 3-month profit · updated 44m ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
120-139Yes0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T120x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T102 · 0
80-99Yes0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T110x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
100-119Yes0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T110x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
140-159Yes0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T110x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
160-179Yes0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T110x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
180-199Yes0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T110x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.