MarketsPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 23 - October 30, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN6 options
160-179 19%180-199 18%140-159 8%120-139 5%
6 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
6 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
80-99<1%1%+1
100-1193%3%0
120-1395%5%0
140-1598%9%+1
160-17919%18%−1
180-19918%——
AI analysts' average · 160-179
18%
1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 0 level, 1 price closer, on 323 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
120-139Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
80-99Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
100-119Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
140-159Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
160-179Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
180-199Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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