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What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 levels openCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 53m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ $224 82%↓ $216 63%↑ $232 33%↓ $208 26%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

8 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ $2646%+1.6 pts3%0 · 2
↑ $2487%+0.7 pts6%0 · 1
↑ $24013%−7.5 pts12%none
↑ $23233%−8.0 pts30%none
↑ $22482%−1.0 pts70%0 · 1
↓ $21663%−7.5 pts65%none
↓ $20826%−2.0 pts30%0 · 3
↓ $2008%−4.1 pts24%0 · 2

8 options trading. +8 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 53m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $2646%3%−3
↑ $2487%6%−1
↑ $24013%12%−1
↑ $23233%30%−3
↑ $22482%70%−12
↓ $21663%65%+2
+2 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ $264

3%

3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

↓ $200: AI 24% vs market 8%, 16 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's markets traders by 3-month profit · updated 58m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
↓ $20830 · 3
↑ $26420 · 2
↓ $20020 · 2
↑ $24810 · 1
↑ $22410 · 1

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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↑ $264 · Buy YesOption 1 of 8

Polymarket price · live

Yes11¢
No99¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · ↑ $264

  • News20 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts3% · 3 pts below
  • Tiers 1–20 Yes · 2 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.