Obsession 45%The Odyssey 34%Spider-Man: Brand New Day 12%Avengers: Doomsday 3%
22 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Obsession45%44%−1
The Odyssey34%33%−1
Spider-Man: Brand New Day12%12%0
Avengers: Doomsday3%2%−1
Michael3%3%0
Backrooms3%3%0
+16 more options
AI analysts' average · The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 360 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
2News
No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
The OdysseyYesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·NoBikesAreTheBikesBikesAreTheBikes: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T11BikesAreTheBikesBikesAreTheBikes: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12 · 1
Spider-Man: Brand New DayYesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·NoRed781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T11Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12 · 1
ObsessionYesprotagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·buoysbuoys: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T102 · 0
Avengers: DoomsdayYesprotagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T102 · 0
Jumanji 3YesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T11SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
SupergirlYesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T11SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the ReapingYesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T11SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
Dune: MessiahYesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T11SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T101 · 0
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.