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#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN22 optionsCloses Apr 2, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 22 options

Obsession 45%The Odyssey 34%Spider-Man: Brand New Day 12%Avengers: Doomsday 3%

22 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Obsession45%+0.5 pts44%2 · 0
The Odyssey34%—33%2 · 1
Spider-Man: Brand New Day12%—12%2 · 1
Avengers: Doomsday3%−0.4 pts2%2 · 0
Michael3%−0.5 pts3%none
Backrooms3%—3%none
Jumanji 3<1%+0.5 pts1%1 · 0
Scream 7<1%—1%none
Supergirl<1%−0.3 pts1%1 · 0
Avatar: Fire and Ash<1%—1%none
Wicked: For Good<1%—1%none
Wuthering Heights<1%—1%none
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu<1%—1%none
Toy Story 5<1%—1%none
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping<1%—1%1 · 0
Dune: Messiah<1%—1%1 · 0
Project Hail Mary<1%—1%none
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie<1%—1%none
Minions & Monsters<1%—1%none
Shrek 5<1%—1%none
Moana<1%—1%none
The Devil Wears Prada 2<1%—1%none

22 options trading, by chance.

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Obsession45%44%−1
The Odyssey34%33%−1
Spider-Man: Brand New Day12%12%0
Avengers: Doomsday3%2%−1
Michael3%3%0
Backrooms3%3%0
+16 more options

AI analysts' average · Moana

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 358 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
The OdysseyYes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 · No BikesAreTheBikesBikesAreTheBikes: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 BikesAreTheBikesBikesAreTheBikes: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 · 1
Spider-Man: Brand New DayYes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 · No Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 · 1
ObsessionYes protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·buoysbuoys: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
Avengers: DoomsdayYes protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
Jumanji 3Yes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
SupergirlYes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the ReapingYes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
Dune: MessiahYes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0

14 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
How markets resolve
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Related Markets

Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Will Shrek 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Will Minions & Monsters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Moana · Buy YesOption 21 of 22

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 0¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 0¢

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Before you decide · Moana

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.