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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 optionCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 48m ago

Polymarket chance · top 1 of 1 options

Josh O'Connor <1%

1 option · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Josh O'Connor<1%—1%—

1 option trading, by chance. +21 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 48m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Josh O'Connor<1%1%+1

AI analysts' average · Josh O'Connor

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 263 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 10h
    Josh O’Connor’s West End play is coming to cinemas
    RUSSH
  • 3d
    James Bond: Jack Lowden, Callum Turner, and Josh O'Connor among finalists in screen tests (with video)
    Plataforma Media
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Josh O'Connor · Buy YesOption 1 of 1

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 0¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 0¢

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Before you decide · Josh O'Connor

  • News1 today · latest 10h
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
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