How do I trade on "Will Noam win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 optionsCloses Oct 28, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 15 options

Together 84%The Democrats 6%Shas 5%Otzma Yehudit 5%

15 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Together84%+8.0 pts76%0 · 3

The Democrats6%—7%0 · 1

Shas5%+4.4 pts1%none

Otzma Yehudit5%−3.8 pts7%none

Likud2%+0.9 pts4%none

Joint List1%−0.5 pts1%none

Yashar<1%−0.7 pts4%none

Yisrael Beiteinu<1%−1.0 pts2%none

Ra'am<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Blue and White———none

United Torah Judaism———none

RZP-Zehut———none

Amcha Yisrael———none

Noam———none

The Reservists and the Economic Party———none

15 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Together84%76%−8

The Democrats6%7%+1

Shas5%1%−4

Otzma Yehudit5%7%+2

Likud2%4%+2

Joint List1%1%0

+9 more options

AI analysts' average · Noam

—

Biggest gap

Together: AI 76% vs market 84%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

1d
2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
Britannica
5d
What’s at Stake in the Israeli Election?
JewishBoston

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Together30 · 3

The Democrats10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 optionsCloses Oct 28, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 15 options

Together 84%The Democrats 6%Shas 5%Otzma Yehudit 5%

15 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Together84%+8.0 pts76%0 · 3

The Democrats6%—7%0 · 1

Shas5%+4.4 pts1%none

Otzma Yehudit5%−3.8 pts7%none

Likud2%+0.9 pts4%none

Joint List1%−0.5 pts1%none

Yashar<1%−0.7 pts4%none

Yisrael Beiteinu<1%−1.0 pts2%none

Ra'am<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Blue and White———none

United Torah Judaism———none

RZP-Zehut———none

Amcha Yisrael———none

Noam———none

The Reservists and the Economic Party———none

15 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Together84%76%−8

The Democrats6%7%+1

Shas5%1%−4

Otzma Yehudit5%7%+2

Likud2%4%+2

Joint List1%1%0

+9 more options

AI analysts' average · Noam

—

Biggest gap

Together: AI 76% vs market 84%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

1d
2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
Britannica
5d
What’s at Stake in the Israeli Election?
JewishBoston

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Together30 · 3

The Democrats10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Resolution criteria: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

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Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

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