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Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 optionsCloses Oct 28, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 15 options

Together 84%The Democrats 6%Otzma Yehudit 5%Shas 4%

15 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Together84%+8.0 pts76%0 · 3
The Democrats6%—7%0 · 1
Otzma Yehudit5%−3.8 pts7%none
Shas4%+3.3 pts1%none
Likud2%+0.9 pts4%none
Joint List1%−0.5 pts1%none
Yashar<1%−0.7 pts4%none
Yisrael Beiteinu<1%−1.0 pts2%none
Ra'am<1%−0.1 pts1%none
Blue and White———none
United Torah Judaism———none
RZP-Zehut———none
Amcha Yisrael———none
Noam———none
The Reservists and the Economic Party———none

15 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Together84%76%−8
The Democrats6%7%+1
Otzma Yehudit5%7%+2
Shas4%1%−3
Likud2%4%+2
Joint List1%1%0
+9 more options

AI analysts' average · The Reservists and the Economic Party

—

Biggest gap

Together: AI 76% vs market 84%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1d
    2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
    Britannica
  • 3d
    Israel’s political parties explained: The Reservists and the New Economic Party
    JNS.org
  • 5d
    What’s at Stake in the Israeli Election?
    JewishBoston
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Together30 · 3
The Democrats10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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The Reservists and the Economic Party · Buy YesOption 15 of 15

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
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Before you decide · The Reservists and the Economic Party

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
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