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Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN7 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Somaliland 11%Jordan 7%Qatar 6%Pakistan 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

7 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Somaliland11%−3.0 pts30%0 · 1
Jordan7%—3%none
Qatar6%+1.0 pts3%none
Pakistan6%+2.9 pts2%none
Syria6%+0.2 pts5%none
Egypt6%—2%none
Oman5%−0.1 pts3%0 · 1

7 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Somaliland11%30%+19
Jordan7%3%−4
Qatar6%3%−3
Pakistan6%2%−4
Syria6%5%−1
Egypt6%2%−4
+1 more option

AI analysts' average · Egypt

2%

4 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Somaliland: AI 30% vs market 11%, 19 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Somaliland10 · 1
Oman10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Egypt · Buy YesOption 6 of 7

Polymarket price · live

Yes7¢
No95¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Egypt

  • AI analysts2% · 4 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.