How do I trade on "Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN7 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Somaliland 11%Jordan 7%Pakistan 6%Qatar 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

7 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Somaliland11%−3.0 pts30%0 · 1

Jordan7%—3%none

Pakistan6%+3.1 pts2%none

Qatar6%+0.6 pts3%none

Syria6%+0.1 pts5%none

Egypt6%—2%none

Oman5%—3%0 · 1

7 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Somaliland11%30%+19

Jordan7%3%−4

Pakistan6%2%−4

Qatar6%3%−3

Syria6%5%−1

Egypt6%2%−4

+1 more option

AI analysts' average · Somaliland

30%

19 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Somaliland: AI 30% vs market 11%, 19 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Somaliland10 · 1

Oman10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN7 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Somaliland 11%Jordan 7%Pakistan 6%Qatar 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

7 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Somaliland11%−3.0 pts30%0 · 1

Jordan7%—3%none

Pakistan6%+3.1 pts2%none

Qatar6%+0.6 pts3%none

Syria6%+0.1 pts5%none

Egypt6%—2%none

Oman5%—3%0 · 1

7 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Somaliland11%30%+19

Jordan7%3%−4

Pakistan6%2%−4

Qatar6%3%−3

Syria6%5%−1

Egypt6%2%−4

+1 more option

AI analysts' average · Somaliland

30%

19 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Somaliland: AI 30% vs market 11%, 19 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Somaliland10 · 1

Oman10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts