How do I trade on "Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openCloses Nov 11, 2026

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11? 87%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsBuy

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?Smart money1 Yes2 No87%36.585%

1 option trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?87%85%−2

AI analysts' average · Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?

85%

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Your forecast on Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 31m ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?Yes WYFSJ T2 No Eager47259 T1 1 WYFSJ T22 Eager47259 T1Yosooooooo T2 1 · 2

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

How markets resolve