How do I trade on "Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN21 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026Research 12m ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 21 options

Anthropic 56%Google 36%OpenAI 5%Meituan 3%

21 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Anthropic56%−5.0 pts57%1 · 0

Google36%+12.0 pts29%1 · 0

OpenAI5%−1.0 pts10%none

Meituan3%−0.5 pts—none

Nvidia3%——none

Alibaba1%——none

Meta1%−5.3 pts3%none

Z.ai<1%——none

Baidu<1%——none

Moonshot<1%+0.1 pts—none

ByteDance<1%——none

Tencent<1%——none

DeepSeek<1%——none

Amazon<1%——none

Mistral<1%——none

Xiaomi<1%——none

StepFun<1%——none

Thinky<1%——none

MiniMax<1%——none

SpaceXAI<1%——none

Microsoft<1%——none

21 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 12m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Anthropic56%57%+1

Google36%29%−7

OpenAI5%10%+5

Meituan3%——

Nvidia3%——

Alibaba1%——

+15 more options

AI analysts' average · ByteDance

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

AnthropicYes molodoyy T21 molodoyy T201 · 0

GoogleYes molodoyy T21 molodoyy T201 · 0

19 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

How markets resolve

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN21 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026Research 12m ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 21 options

Anthropic 56%Google 36%OpenAI 5%Meituan 3%

21 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Anthropic56%−5.0 pts57%1 · 0

Google36%+12.0 pts29%1 · 0

OpenAI5%−1.0 pts10%none

Meituan3%−0.5 pts—none

Nvidia3%——none

Alibaba1%——none

Meta1%−5.3 pts3%none

Z.ai<1%——none

Baidu<1%——none

Moonshot<1%+0.1 pts—none

ByteDance<1%——none

Tencent<1%——none

DeepSeek<1%——none

Amazon<1%——none

Mistral<1%——none

Xiaomi<1%——none

StepFun<1%——none

Thinky<1%——none

MiniMax<1%——none

SpaceXAI<1%——none

Microsoft<1%——none

21 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 12m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Anthropic56%57%+1

Google36%29%−7

OpenAI5%10%+5

Meituan3%——

Nvidia3%——

Alibaba1%——

+15 more options

AI analysts' average · ByteDance

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

AnthropicYes molodoyy T21 molodoyy T201 · 0

GoogleYes molodoyy T21 molodoyy T201 · 0

19 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

How markets resolve

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

Related Markets

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News