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Anthropic IPO by __?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 levels openCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

December 31, 2026 88%December 15, 2026 83%November 30, 2026 72%November 15, 2026 5%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

5 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 31, 2026<1%—1%—
November 15, 20265%−2.6 pts8%1 · 2
November 30, 202672%+8.0 pts62%3 · 1
December 15, 202683%+8.0 pts71%1 · 3
December 31, 202688%+9.0 pts65%1 · 6

5 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
October 31, 2026<1%1%+1
November 15, 20265%8%+3
November 30, 202672%62%−10
December 15, 202683%71%−12
December 31, 202688%65%−23

AI analysts' average · October 31, 2026

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

December 31, 2026: AI 65% vs market 88%, 23 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    Anthropic IPO Faces New Hurdle As NYC Comptroller Urges Delay: Claude Parent's Market Debut Odds Slide
    Benzinga
  • 5h
    Forget the Anthropic IPO. Here Are 6 Stocks Worth Watching.
    The Motley Fool
  • 6h
    Which Funds Have the Largest Stakes in Anthropic and OpenAI Ahead of Their IPOs?
    Morningstar
  • 6h
    Anthropic Plans to Publicly File IPO Documents as Soon as Friday, Aiming for November Listing
    TradingKey
  • 12h
    Two Customers Account for a Fifth of Anthropic's Revenue, a Concentration Risk IPO Buyers Should Know
    Yahoo Finance
  • 13h
    Dear Future Anthropic IPO Investors, Mark Your Calendars for October 23
    Yahoo Finance
  • 13h
    Anthropic May Release IPO Filing as Early as Friday, With Potential to Top SpaceX in Record Listing
    bloomingbit
  • 15h
    Anthropic IPO Filing Could Come as Soon: Explained
    JournalArta
  • 18h
    Anthropic Reports $80 Billion Loss Ahead Of IPO
    Baystreet.ca
  • 18h
    Anthropic to publicly file for IPO as early as Friday, sources say
    Yahoo Finance
  • 19h
    Anthropic's Draft S-1 Reveals $450 Billion in Non-Cancelable Cloud Commitments — and That's Not Even the Scariest Number
    Yahoo Finance
  • 19h
    Anthropic's first-half net loss reached $80.7 billion, draft IPO filing shows
    Quartz
  • 20h
    Anthropic Has Committed $450 Billion to Cloud Computing, Its Draft IPO Filing Shows
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 20h
    US - Anthropic IPO Valuation - Prediction Market-Implied Forecast
    MacroMicro
  • 20h
    Anthropic Commits $450 Billion to Cloud Computing Ahead of IPO
    TradingView
  • 21h
    Is Anthropic the IPO market’s last hope for 2026? The clock is ticking
    Fortune
  • 21h
    Anthropic’s First-Half Net Loss Widens to over $80 Billion Ahead of IPO
    Hungarian Conservative
  • 21h
    Anthropic’s S-1 leaks (again)—here’s a look at the massive losses on the income statement
    Fortune
  • 22h
    Why Anthropic can't afford to delay its IPO
    Axios
  • 1d
    Anthropic IPO: Net loss jumps 6x to $80.7 billion in H1 2026! What you should know
    Business Today
  • 1d
    Anthropic IPO Draft Details $450 Billion in Cloud Agreements
    TOKENPOST
  • 1d
    Anthropic's IPO spotlight falls on its potential US$750 billion AI compute tab
    digitimes
  • 1d
    Anthropic’s $80.7 billion loss puts its IPO ambitions under scrutiny
    CTech
  • 1d
    Anthropic IPO Prospectus: First-Half Loss Hits $80.7 Billion, $750 Billion Computing Spend Draws Attention
    TradingKey
  • 1d
    Who Made Money on the SpaceX IPO? A Warning for Anthropic
    Memeburn
  • 1d
    Anthropic Is Targeting an IPO as Soon as Mid-November
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Why Anthropic has a major China problem ahead of its blockbuster IPO
    South China Morning Post
  • 1d
    Investors eagerly await Anthropic official IPO statement to see if it will stoke demand
    nypost.com
  • 1d
    Anthropic's blockbuster IPO filing could come as soon as this week -- here are the big questions Wall Street is asking
    New York Post
  • 1d
    Anthropic’s New Prospectus Shows Revenue Is Growing Fast, So Are Its Compute Costs, Losses And AI Risks: Report
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Anthropic's Cloud Partners Turn Rivals Ahead of IPO
    The Tech Buzz
  • 1d
    Anthropic Lost $80 Billion in Six Months as AI Spending Soars, Draft IPO Filing Shows
    Benzinga
  • 1d
    Anthropic IPO draft shows nearly 15-fold revenue jump and $600 billion in compute deals
    investingLive
  • 1d
    Anthropic's IPO prospectus reveals $80.7B net loss
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Anthropic draft IPO filing reportedly shows H1 net loss of $80 . 7B and possible $750B in future compute spending · Digg
    digg.com
  • 1d
    Anthropic's draft S-1 filing shows revenue growth, customer concentration, risks: report (ANTHRO:Private)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 1d
    Anthropic could spend $750B on computing power ahead of IPO: Report
    Anadolu Ajansı
  • 1d
    Anthropic revenue hits $16.3 billion as preliminary S-1 outlines IPO risks - WSJ
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Anthropic’s IPO Filing Shows A Big Loss, And A Bigger Asterisk
    Finimize
  • 1d
    Why Anthropic’s IPO Faces a Test That Goes Beyond Its Price Tag
    Barron's
  • 1d
    Exclusive | Anthropic S-1 Shows Red-Hot Growth, Risks and Massive Computing Costs
    WSJ
  • 1d
    Anthropic Stock: How To Buy Pre-IPO Shares In The Private Market – And The IPO
    Hedge Fund Alpha
  • 1d
    OpenAI Is Racing To Raise $30 Billion Before Anthropic's IPO. Its Valuation Could Cross $1.4 Trillion.
    Yahoo Finance Singapore
  • 1d
    Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt’s early Anthropic bet could balloon to $20B in blockbuster IPO
    New York Post
  • 1d
    Eric Schmidt Stake in Anthropic Could Deliver Major IPO Windfall
    AirGuide Business
  • 1d
    SpaceX IPO vs upcoming Anthropic IPO : Will Claude maker beat Elon Musk $75 bn record ?
    livemint.com
  • 1d
    Anthropic Will Be The Last AI IPO Of 2026, As Industry Collapses
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Dario Amodei's AI Safety Warning Is Colliding With Anthropic's IPO Timeline
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    OpenAI is racing to raise $30 billion before Anthropic's expected IPO
    Quartz
  • 1d
    Anthropic sets aside 5% stake for public benefit fund ahead of November IPO
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Eric Schmidt owns 1% of Anthropic ahead of its planned IPO
    Quartz
  • 1d
    OpenAI Reportedly Looking to Hurry and Get Valued at $1.4 Trillion Before Anthropic IPO
    Gizmodo
  • 1d
    All eyes on Anthropic’s IPO plans as market pulls back
    Portfolio Adviser
  • 2d
    Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt reportedly owns about 1% of Anthropic ahead of its IPO
    The Next Web
  • 2d
    Anthropic IPO Date: Investor Timeline, Valuation and Expectations
    SmartAsset
  • 2d
    What Anthropic’s IPO Filing Could Reveal and Why OpenAI Is Racing It
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    OpenAI Rushes to Secure $30 Billion Investment Ahead of Anthropic IPO
    조선일보
  • 2d
    OpenAI races to raise $30 billion at $1.4 trillion valuation ahead of Anthropic IPO
    CTech
  • 2d
    OpenAI Rushes To Close $30 Billion Funding Round Ahead Of Anthropic IPO
    freepressjournal.in
  • 2d
    Anthropic IPO: Investors weigh USD 1.5 trillion valuation as AI spending concerns mount
    https://internationalfinance.com/
  • 2d
    Why OpenAI is racing to raise funds ahead of Anthropic IPO
    Reuters
  • 2d
    OpenAI races to raise $30 bln ahead of Anthropic IPO, Reuters reports
    Yahoo Finance Australia
  • 2d
    OpenAI rushing to raise $30 billion before Anthropic’s IPO. What is at stake?
    Firstpost
  • 2d
    EXCLUSIVE: OpenAI seeks to accelerate fundraising ahead of Anthropic IPO, sources say
    Reuters
  • 2d
    Anthropic could be the AI trade’s last tentpole IPO in 2026
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Eric Schmidt’s 1% Anthropic stake sets up massive windfall ahead of IPO -Bloomberg
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Investors trim valuation expectations on Anthropic IPO
    EnterpriseAM
  • 2d
    Nscale in talks for $45 billion Anthropic AI deal as IPO looms
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Anthropic IPO, MANGOS ETFs and the Future of the AI Trade
    Zacks Investment Research
  • 2d
    A $1.5 Trillion Anthropic IPO Still Pays Off for Google: “They’re Gonna Be Fine”
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Buying dip in tech market, Anthropic's "Public Benefit" fund, and Musk's SpaceX pledge
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    How Anthropic's 5% public benefit fund could reshape its IPO
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Anthropic IPO Prospects Dim Amid Market Uncertainty
    GuruFocus
  • 2d
    A trader just placed a $15K bet on Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026
    Quiver Quantitative
  • 2d
    Anthropic is AI trade's last big hope for a major IPO this year
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Submit a question: Could Anthropic’s IPO be a turning point for AI?
    Financial Times
  • 2d
    Anthropic's IPO plan includes a 5% stock pledge. Who benefits?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Can Anthropic’s Shadow Board Cripple Its IPO?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Opinion: Will the Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs follow SpaceX in upending the underwriting market?
    The Globe and Mail
  • 3d
    Anthropic Pledges 5% Of Its Shares To Public Benefit Fund—Here's How It Works
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Anthropic IPO dominates sentiment amid fears AI trade is cooling – ECM Pulse Global
    ION Analytics
  • 3d
    Anthropic $16 . 8 Billion Revenue Shapes Proposed IPO Debate
    econotimes.com
  • 3d
    Anthropic's IPO Dreams May Be Eclipsed By the Cloud
    Bloomberg.com
  • 3d
    Anthropic IPO: Musk Wants AI Firm To Hand Shares Directly To Public, Says 'This Is What I Will Be Doing'
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Anthropic IPO Buzz Has Investors Watching Nasdaq Stock And ECM Fee Winners
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    What to Know About the Obscure Trust Looming Over Anthropic’s IPO
    WSJ
  • 3d
    Anthropic commits 5% of shares to new public benefit fund
    Yahoo Finance UK
  • 3d
    Anthropic Pledges $48 Billion in Stock Before Its IPO: What Does It Mean for Buyers?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Anthropic Reportedly Posted Quarterly Revenue Growth of 50% and Was Cash-Flow Positive. Here's Why It Might Not Be Enough to Impress Investors Before the Company's Massive IPO
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Anthropic IPO: When Anthropic Goes Public and How to Invest
    XTB.com
  • 5d
    Cramer Flips on Anthropic IPO Over 10% AI Risk [2026]
    shattered.io
  • 5d
    Anthropic’s $2 trillion IPO dream hits a new reality
    Yahoo Finance Singapore
  • 5d
    New York City Pension Fund Asks Anthropic to Delay IPO Over AI
    techstory.in
  • 6d
    OpenAI 2026 Revenue Estimate Just Got Cut by $20 Billion . Anthropic Quarterly Revenue Just Climbed to $16 . 8 Billion .
    fool.com
  • 6d
    Investors temper Anthropic IPO valuation expectations over revenue growth slowdown , sources say
    thehindubusinessline.com
  • 6d
    Investors temper expectations for Anthropic IPO - The Business Times
    businesstimes.com.sg
  • 6d
    Anthropic pushes ahead with mid - November IPO
    ifre.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
December 31, 202671 · 6
November 30, 202643 · 1
December 15, 202641 · 3
November 15, 202631 · 2

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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October 31, 2026 · Buy YesOption 1 of 5

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No100¢
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Before you decide · October 31, 2026

  • News19 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.