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Anthropic IPO by __?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 levels openCloses Dec 16, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

December 31, 2026 79%December 15, 2026 75%November 30, 2026 64%November 15, 2026 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

4 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
November 15, 20268%−2.7 pts10%1 · 2
November 30, 202664%−0.5 pts61%2 · 1
December 15, 202675%−1.0 pts70%1 · 3
December 31, 202679%+1.0 pts65%0 · 6

4 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
November 15, 20268%10%+2
November 30, 202664%61%−3
December 15, 202675%70%−5
December 31, 202679%65%−14

AI analysts' average · December 15, 2026

70%

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

December 31, 2026: AI 65% vs market 79%, 14 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's IPO traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
December 31, 202660 · 6
December 15, 202641 · 3
November 15, 202631 · 2
November 30, 202632 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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December 15, 2026 · Buy YesOption 3 of 4

Polymarket price · live

Yes75¢
No26¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · December 15, 2026

  • News46 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts70% · 5 pts below
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 3 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.