How do I trade on "Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 3 levels nearest 50%

↑ 4.25% 78% ↑ 4.5% 9% ↑ 4.75% 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

↑ 4.75%8%+1.2 pts5%none

↑ 4.5%9%−2.7 pts12%1 · 0

↑ 4.25%78%−2.5 pts78%1 · 0

3 options trading. +17 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

↑ 4.75%8%5%−3

↑ 4.5%9%12%+3

↑ 4.25%78%78%0

AI analysts' average · ↑ 4.25%

78%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

↑ 4.75%: AI 5% vs market 8%, 3 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's Fed and rates traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

↑ 4.5%11 · 0

↑ 4.25%11 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 3 levels nearest 50%

↑ 4.25% 78% ↑ 4.5% 9% ↑ 4.75% 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

↑ 4.75%8%+1.2 pts5%none

↑ 4.5%9%−2.7 pts12%1 · 0

↑ 4.25%78%−2.5 pts78%1 · 0

3 options trading. +17 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

↑ 4.75%8%5%−3

↑ 4.5%9%12%+3

↑ 4.25%78%78%0

AI analysts' average · ↑ 4.25%

78%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

↑ 4.75%: AI 5% vs market 8%, 3 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's Fed and rates traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

↑ 4.5%11 · 0

↑ 4.25%11 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts