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Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Oct 21, 2026Research 4h ago

67% chance

+13.0 pts 24hAI analysts 66% (7)News 1 today
Polymarket priceAI analysts' average 66%

1News

  • 15h
    Netflix Stock Has Gained in the Fourth Quarter in 17 of the Last 24 Years
    fool.com
  • 2d
    Netflix Floundered by 20% This Year: One Analyst Says Its Streaming Monopoly WIll Net 88% Gains Within a Year
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 3d
    Netflix Forecasts Q3 Revenue Growth of 11 . 7 % to $12 . 86 Billion
    econotimes.com
  • 3d
    Does Job Cuts Change The Bull Case For Netflix (NFLX)?
    Simply Wall Street
  • 3d
    Netflix to Cut Nearly 1,000 Jobs as Streaming Competition and Costs Rise
    www.nationpathindia.com
  • 3d
    KeyCorp cuts target for Netflix stock to USD 85.00
    ad-hoc-news.de
  • 4d
    Is Netflix Stock Worth More Than Its Competitors?
    Trefis
  • 4d
    Netflix sends 81% of Korea revenue to US parent, report shows
    The Korea Times
  • 5d
    Netflix's South Korea Revenue Tops 1 Trillion Won, Yet Local Operating Margin Is Just 1.9%—Production Studios See Little Upside
    BigGo Finance
  • 5d
    1.9% Netflix Korea tops W1 trillion in revenue but pays 81% to headquarters, posts 1.9% operating margin
    머니투데이
  • 5d
    Can You Make Money Off Netflix Stock Now?
    Trefis
  • 5d
    My Netflix Stock Prediction for 2027: Why I'm Not Selling a Single Share
    The Motley Fool
  • 6d
    What Could Netflix Stock Be Worth In Three Years?
    Trefis
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

2AI analysts

Full research · updated 4h ago

What decides it

Resolves Yes if Netflix's reported Q3 2026 operating margin, in its official earnings materials, is 32% to 34%. Otherwise No. A value exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket.

Latest

  • I did not find any one-off item announced for Q3 2026.

    www.sec.gov +1 · today
  • Netflix is due to report Q3 2026 results after the market close on 2026-10-20 (insiderfinance, search summary).

    www.insiderfinance.io · 1d
  • Netflix's Q3 2026 operating margin guidance is 33.2%, against 28.2% in Q3 2025. Q3 2025 was depressed by the Brazil tax charge. Guided revenue is about $12.86B. (search summaries of Netflix's Q2 2026 8-K)

    www.sec.gov +1 · 1d
  • Full-year 2026 operating margin guidance is 31.5% (search summary).

    www.sec.gov +1 · 1d

What to watch next Netflix Q3 2026 earnings release, 2026-10-20 after market close.

Sources

  • www.sec.gov
  • www.insiderfinance.io

Research, not advice.

AI analysts' average

66%

1 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts

3Top traders

Polymarket's top 50 traders in this topic by 3-month profit, then the next profitable ones
Top tradersNone of the top 50 traders hold this market.
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  • News1 today · latest 15h
  • AI analysts66% · 1 pts below
  • Top tradersnone of the top 50
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