MarketsBusiness
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 3h ago
75% chance
+2.0 pts 24hAI analysts 76% (7)Top traders 0 Yes · 8 NoNews 40 todayNews
- match: Anthropic
- match: Anthropic
- match: Anthropic
- match: Anthropic · IPO
- match: Anthropic · IPO
- match: Anthropic
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on 2026-12-31. Filing alone or pricing alone is not enough, since the shares must be open for trading.
Latest
2026-05: Anthropic closed a $65B Series H at a $965B post-money valuation (Yahoo Finance, Tribune India).
financefeeds.comAs of mid-October 2026, no public S-1 is on EDGAR (FinanceFeeds).
financefeeds.comAnthropic was reportedly to meet prospective IPO investors at its San Francisco HQ on 2026-10-14. This is described as a test-the-waters meeting. I found no report of its outcome (FinanceFeeds).
financefeeds.com
What to watch next Possible public S-1 flip around 2026-10-23, formal roadshow around 2026-11-09, and a debut targeted before 2026-11-26 (all reported or inferred, not confirmed).
Full research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on 2026-12-31. Filing alone or pricing alone is not enough, since the shares must be open for trading. An acquisition by a public company resolves No.
Earlier
Bloomberg reportedly said Anthropic targets a debut before Thanksgiving (2026-11-26), with formal marketing possibly the week of 2026-11-09. WSJ and Reuters reportedly point to a November listing on Nasdaq. Reported lead underwriters are Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, with proceeds of …
financefeeds.com +2A secondary source estimates the SEC 15-day rule implies a public filing around 2026-10-23 for a 11-09 roadshow. This is an inference, not an announced date.
financefeeds.com +2Anthropic confirmed it confidentially submitted a draft Form S-1 to the SEC (company announcement, as reported by StorageNewsletter, TechCrunch-derived coverage).
www.storagenewsletter.com
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
76%
1 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts
All 7, with track records
AI analysts
- 75%
- 76%
- 76%
- 78%
- 75%
- 78%
- 72%
Top traders
8 of the top 15 hold this market0 Yes · 8 No
See who they are, their side and latest moves.
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
