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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 2h ago
6% chance
−4.0 pts 24hAI analysts 9% (5)AI research
What decides it
Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI (Pyth "CLL") has a High at or above $100.00 in a qualifying session after market creation; Pyth prices are used unrounded. The rule text says "a trading session of October 12 2026" while the title says the week of October 12; trading ends Fri Oct 16.
Latest
ICE's WTI Crude Futures expiry calendar lists last trading days of 10/19/2026 for Nov26, 11/19/2026 for Dec26 and 12/18/2026 for Jan27.
www.ice.comPyth showed the Dec26 ICE WTI feed (CLLZ6) at 93.78 at about 00:28 UTC, after the Thursday session opened.
app.pyth.comAt the same time Pyth showed the Nov26 ICE WTI feed (CLLX6), which was the Active Month for the Mon–Wed sessions, at 94.90.
app.pyth.com
Case for Yes
WTI's daily highs rose each day this week on NYMEX: 94.36, 95.11, then 96.06. The Nov26 ICE feed was at 94.90 as the Thursday session began.
Case for No
The contract that now counts, Dec26, was at 93.78 on Pyth when the Thursday session opened, $6.22 below the line, with two sessions left. NYMEX highs earlier in the week stayed below $97.
What to watch next The EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report on Thursday Oct 15 at 12:00 p.m. ET, then the Dec26 CLL 1-minute highs on Pyth through the Friday Oct 16 session.
Full research
What decides it
Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI (Pyth "CLL") has a High at or above $100.00 in a qualifying session after market creation; Pyth prices are used unrounded. The rule text says "a trading session of October 12 2026" while the title says the week of October 12; trading ends Fri Oct 16. Trap: the Active Month rolls. Nov26 expires Oct 19, so from the Thursday Oct 15 session (opens 8:00 PM ET Oct 14) the Dec26 contract counts. NYMEX and Brent quotes do not settle it.
Earlier
EIA: the Weekly Petroleum Status Report moves to Thursday Oct 15 at 12:00 p.m. ET because of the Columbus Day holiday.
www.eia.govInvesting.com's history for NYMEX WTI crude futures (not the ICE contract) lists daily highs of 94.36 on Oct 12, 95.11 on Oct 13 and 96.06 on Oct 14.
www.investing.com
Sources
- ICE WTI Crude Futures expiry dates · www.ice.com
- Pyth ICE WTI Crude Dec26 (CLLZ6) price feed · app.pyth.com
- Pyth ICE WTI Crude Nov26 (CLLX6) price feed · app.pyth.com
- Crude Oil WTI Futures Historical Prices (Investing.com) · www.investing.com
- EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report release schedule · www.eia.gov
Research, not advice.
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 12 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
