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MarketsMovies & TV

Next James Bond actor?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

Jack Lowden 29%No Bond chosen 26%Callum Turner 21%Jacob Elordi 12%

4 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jack Lowden29%+2.4 pts32%1 · 4
No Bond chosen26%−6.4 pts35%3 · 0
Callum Turner21%+3.8 pts16%3 · 0
Jacob Elordi12%+8.3 pts9%2 · 1

4 options trading, by chance. +20 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Jack Lowden29%32%+3
No Bond chosen26%35%+9
Callum Turner21%16%−5
Jacob Elordi12%9%−3

AI analysts' average · Callum Turner

16%

5 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

No Bond chosen: AI 35% vs market 26%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's movie traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Jack Lowden51 · 4
No Bond chosen33 · 0
Callum Turner33 · 0
Jacob Elordi32 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Callum Turner · Buy YesOption 3 of 4

Polymarket price · live

Yes21¢
No79¢
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Before you decide · Callum Turner

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts16% · 5 pts below
  • Tiers 1–23 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.