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MarketsMovies & TV

Next James Bond actor?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN23 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1d ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 23 options

Jack Lowden 34%No Bond chosen 26%Jacob Elordi 12%Callum Turner 11%

23 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jack Lowden34%+4.4 pts32%1 · 3
No Bond chosen26%−0.2 pts35%2 · 0
Jacob Elordi12%−0.2 pts9%3 · 1
Callum Turner11%−8.8 pts16%2 · 1
James Norton6%+5.8 pts3%2 · 0
Josh O'Connor4%+0.3 pts4%2 · 0
Tom Francis3%+0.7 pts11%1 · 0
Henry Cavill2%+1.9 pts2%none
Paul Mescal2%+1.3 pts2%0 · 1
Richard Madden2%+1.7 pts2%1 · 0
Jack O'Connell2%−0.5 pts2%1 · 0
Harris Dickinson<1%+0.3 pts9%1 · 1
Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%—8%2 · 0
Theo James<1%−0.4 pts1%3 · 0
Tom Hardy<1%−0.4 pts1%1 · 0
Pierce Brosnan———none
Tom Holland———none
Robert James-Collier———none
Timothee Chalamet———none
Michael B Jordan———none
Nicholas Galitzine———none
Jonathan Bailey———0 · 1
Tom Blyth———none

23 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Jack Lowden34%32%−2
No Bond chosen26%35%+9
Jacob Elordi12%9%−3
Callum Turner11%16%+5
James Norton6%3%−3
Josh O'Connor4%4%0
+17 more options

AI analysts' average · Jack Lowden

32%

2 pts below the market · 6 AI analysts

Biggest gap

No Bond chosen: AI 35% vs market 26%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1d
    Paul Greengrass Says He Was Offered A ‘James Bond’ Film After Directing ‘Bourne Supremacy’
    Deadline
  • 1d
    James Bond 26 Has Been Cast According to New Report & Fans Do Not Approve: “Temu 007”
    ComicBook.com
  • 2d
    What films has Jack Lowden been in? Here are all 16 films starring the Scottish Slow Horses actor
    The Scotsman
  • 2d
    Next James Bond Actor Finally Revealed in Official New Behind-the-Scenes Video
    Inside the Magic
  • 3d
    ‘James Bond’ Reboot Confirms Full Cast Including New 007 Actor, Gets First Official Teaser
    Inside the Magic
  • 3d
    Gary Oldman says James Bond has been cast; his vote goes to Jack Lowden
    IMDb
  • 3d
    Two Sides of the 007 Universe: Omega Debuts Seamaster Diver 300m James Bond and Spectre Editions
    Prestige Online - Singapore
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's movie traders by 3-month profit · updated 28m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Jack Lowden41 · 3
Jacob Elordi43 · 1
Callum Turner32 · 1
Theo James33 · 0
No Bond chosen22 · 0
James Norton22 · 0
Josh O'Connor22 · 0
Harris Dickinson21 · 1
Aaron Taylor-Johnson22 · 0
Tom Francis11 · 0
Paul Mescal10 · 1
Richard Madden11 · 0
Jack O'Connell11 · 0
Tom Hardy11 · 0
Jonathan Bailey10 · 1

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Jack Lowden · Buy YesOption 1 of 23

Polymarket price · live

Yes36¢
No67¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Jack Lowden

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts32% · 2 pts below
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 3 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.