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MarketsMovies & TV

Next James Bond actor?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN23 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 23 options

Jack Lowden 33%No Bond chosen 26%Jacob Elordi 13%Callum Turner 8%

23 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jack Lowden33%+6.2 pts32%1 · 2
No Bond chosen26%−0.3 pts35%2 · 0
Jacob Elordi13%+2.0 pts9%3 · 1
Callum Turner8%−10.6 pts16%2 · 1
James Norton5%+5.3 pts3%—
Harris Dickinson5%+4.7 pts9%—
Tom Francis3%+0.7 pts12%—
Josh O'Connor3%−2.8 pts6%—
Henry Cavill2%+1.9 pts3%—
Jack O'Connell2%−0.4 pts2%—
Paul Mescal1%+0.6 pts2%—
Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%—7%—
Theo James<1%−0.4 pts1%—
Richard Madden<1%—2%—
Tom Hardy<1%−0.4 pts1%—
Pierce Brosnan————
Tom Holland————
Robert James-Collier————
Timothee Chalamet————
Michael B Jordan————
Nicholas Galitzine————
Jonathan Bailey————
Tom Blyth————

23 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Jack Lowden33%32%−1
No Bond chosen26%35%+9
Jacob Elordi13%9%−4
Callum Turner8%16%+8
James Norton5%3%−2
Harris Dickinson5%9%+4
+17 more options

AI analysts' average · James Norton

3%

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

No Bond chosen: AI 35% vs market 26%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Jacob Elordi43 · 1
Jack Lowden31 · 2
Callum Turner32 · 1
No Bond chosen22 · 0

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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James Norton · Buy YesOption 5 of 23

Polymarket price · live

Yes10¢
No99¢
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Before you decide · James Norton

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts3% · 2 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.