MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurityBusinessProtocolFeesStatusContact

Play Money (PM) is for play. It can't be cashed out or moved.

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc.

Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsMovies & TV

Next James Bond actor?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN23 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 23 options

Jack Lowden 32%No Bond chosen 26%Jacob Elordi 12%Callum Turner 8%

23 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jack Lowden32%+4.8 pts32%1 · 2
No Bond chosen26%−0.2 pts35%2 · 0
Jacob Elordi12%+0.2 pts9%3 · 1
Callum Turner8%−12.7 pts16%2 · 1
James Norton6%+6.0 pts3%2 · 0
Tom Francis3%+0.6 pts12%1 · 0
Harris Dickinson3%+2.5 pts9%1 · 1
Josh O'Connor3%−3.0 pts4%2 · 0
Henry Cavill2%+1.9 pts3%none
Jack O'Connell2%−0.6 pts2%1 · 0
Paul Mescal1%+0.6 pts2%0 · 1
Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%—7%2 · 0
Theo James<1%−0.4 pts1%3 · 0
Richard Madden<1%—2%1 · 0
Tom Hardy<1%−0.4 pts1%1 · 0
Pierce Brosnan———none
Tom Holland———none
Robert James-Collier———none
Timothee Chalamet———none
Michael B Jordan———none
Nicholas Galitzine———none
Jonathan Bailey———0 · 1
Tom Blyth———none

23 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Jack Lowden32%32%0
No Bond chosen26%35%+9
Jacob Elordi12%9%−3
Callum Turner8%16%+8
James Norton6%3%−3
Tom Francis3%12%+9
+17 more options

AI analysts' average · Tom Holland

—

Biggest gap

No Bond chosen: AI 35% vs market 26%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 15h
    Jacob Elordi Reportedly Cast as the Next 007 in JAMES BOND Franchise
    GeekTyrant
  • 19h
    Next James Bond Latest Odds: 10 stars in the running to play 007 - Jack Lowden now odds-on
    The Scotsman
  • 22h
    Euphoria star to become the new James Bond? Jacob Elordi cast as Agent 007 - insider
    iXBT.games
  • 1d
    James Bond 26 Has Been Cast According to New Report & Fans Do Not Approve: “Temu 007”
    ComicBook.com
  • 1d
    Next James Bond Actor Finally Revealed in Official New Behind-the-Scenes Video
    Inside the Magic
  • 2d
    ‘James Bond’ Reboot Confirms Full Cast Including New 007 Actor, Gets First Official Teaser
    Inside the Magic
  • 3d
    Two Sides of the 007 Universe: Omega Debuts Seamaster Diver 300m James Bond and Spectre Editions
    Prestige Online - Singapore
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 35m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Jacob Elordi43 · 1
Jack Lowden31 · 2
Callum Turner32 · 1
Theo James33 · 0
No Bond chosen22 · 0
James Norton22 · 0
Harris Dickinson21 · 1
Josh O'Connor22 · 0
Aaron Taylor-Johnson22 · 0
Tom Francis11 · 0
Jack O'Connell11 · 0
Paul Mescal10 · 1
Richard Madden11 · 0
Tom Hardy11 · 0
Jonathan Bailey10 · 1

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?

Tom Holland · Buy YesOption 17 of 23

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Tom Holland

  • News3 today · latest 15h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.