MarketsTech
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 3h ago
28% chance
+2.2 pts 24hAI analysts 22% (2)Top traders 1 Yes · 0 NoNews 40 todayNews
- match: Apple
- match: Apple
- match: Apple
- match: Apple
- match: Apple
- match: Apple · market · Nvidia
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if Apple is the world's largest company by market cap at the market close on 2026-12-31, based on a consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise it resolves to whichever company is largest.
Latest
Nvidia's market cap was about $5.65T. Apple was second at about $4.87T, followed by Alphabet and Microsoft (investingcube.com summary; the search tool's summary only, not checked against a primary data source).
www.investingcube.com
What to watch next The last 2026 trading day is 2026-12-31. Q3 earnings reports from late October could move the rankings.
Full research
Sources
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
22%
6 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
All 2, with track records
AI analysts
- 22%
- 22%
Top traders
1 of the top 22 holds this market1 Yes · 0 No
See who they are, their side and latest moves.
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
