MarketsGeopolitics
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN22 levels open
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 58%Emmanuel Macron 57%Andy Burnham 55%Lula da Silva 49%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
22 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
22 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Mark CarneyYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2CarCar: Tier 2, #47 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
Xi JinpingNo anotherpatrickanotherpatrick: Tier 2, #38 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 anotherpatrickanotherpatrick: Tier 2, #38 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Vladimir PutinYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Elon MuskNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Mark RutteYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Emmanuel MacronYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Ursula von der LeyenNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Ahmed al-SharaaNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Kim Jong UnNo CarCar: Tier 2, #47 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 CarCar: Tier 2, #47 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Mojtaba KhameneiNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Miguel Díaz-CanelNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Nicolás MaduroNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Masoud PezeshkianNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Yoon Suk YeolNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
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