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Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openCloses Oct 28, 2026

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe 49%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe49%−2.0 pts49%—

1 option trading.

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe49%49%0

AI analysts' average · Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe

49%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 425 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 10h
    Musetti vs. Tiafoe Prediction at the Erste Bank Open – Tuesday, October 27
    Bleacher Nation
  • 1d
    October 27, 2026: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 2 Winner Tennis Prediction Market
    Robinhood
  • 1d
    Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe · Round 1 · ATP Vienna
    Tennis.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe · Buy YesOption 1 of 1

Polymarket price · live

Lorenzo Musetti49¢
Frances Tiafoe52¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 49¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 1¢

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Before you decide · Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe

  • News1 today · latest 10h
  • AI analysts49% · level
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