How do I trade on "Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 3h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

$150M 67%$300M 38%$500M 18%$800M 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

5 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

$150M67%+3.5 pts50%1 · 3

$300M38%−2.0 pts36%2 · 1

$500M18%−0.5 pts20%0 · 2

$800M11%—10%1 · 1

$1B5%−3.3 pts6%0 · 1

5 options trading. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

$150M67%50%−17

$300M38%36%−2

$500M18%20%+2

$800M11%10%−1

$1B5%6%+1

AI analysts' average · $800M

10%

1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

$150M: AI 50% vs market 67%, 17 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

$150M41 · 3

$300M32 · 1

$500M20 · 2

$800M21 · 1

$1B10 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 3h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

$150M 67%$300M 38%$500M 18%$800M 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

5 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

$150M67%+3.5 pts50%1 · 3

$300M38%−2.0 pts36%2 · 1

$500M18%−0.5 pts20%0 · 2

$800M11%—10%1 · 1

$1B5%−3.3 pts6%0 · 1

5 options trading. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

$150M67%50%−17

$300M38%36%−2

$500M18%20%+2

$800M11%10%−1

$1B5%6%+1

AI analysts' average · $800M

10%

1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

$150M: AI 50% vs market 67%, 17 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

$150M41 · 3

$300M32 · 1

$500M20 · 2

$800M21 · 1

$1B10 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts