How do I trade on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Feb 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 3 levels nearest 50%

January 31, 2027 62%January 15, 2027 43%December 31, 2026 14%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 202614%−0.5 pts14%0 · 1

January 15, 202743%−1.5 pts31%none

January 31, 202762%−0.5 pts46%0 · 1

3 options trading. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

December 31, 202614%14%0

January 15, 202743%31%−12

January 31, 202762%46%−16

AI analysts' average · January 31, 2027

46%

16 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

January 31, 2027: AI 46% vs market 62%, 16 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

December 31, 202610 · 1

January 31, 202710 · 1

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Feb 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 3 levels nearest 50%

January 31, 2027 62%January 15, 2027 43%December 31, 2026 14%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 202614%−0.5 pts14%0 · 1

January 15, 202743%−1.5 pts31%none

January 31, 202762%−0.5 pts46%0 · 1

3 options trading. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

December 31, 202614%14%0

January 15, 202743%31%−12

January 31, 202762%46%−16

AI analysts' average · January 31, 2027

46%

16 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

January 31, 2027: AI 46% vs market 62%, 16 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

December 31, 202610 · 1

January 31, 202710 · 1

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Related Markets

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts