How do I trade on "Will Aaron Rodgers have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN21 levels openCloses Jan 27, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Dak Prescott 51%Bryce Young 48%Jordan Love 48%Aaron Rodgers 47%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

21 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Jared Goff76%−1.0 pts65%none

Trevor Lawrence68%+5.0 pts58%none

Brock Purdy67%+1.5 pts65%none

Joe Burrow66%—50%none

Matthew Stafford55%+1.0 pts50%none

Dak Prescott51%−9.5 pts45%none

Bryce Young48%—45%none

Jordan Love48%+5.0 pts48%none

Aaron Rodgers47%+7.0 pts48%none

Tyler Shough40%+2.5 pts43%none

Patrick Mahomes39%+9.0 pts50%none

Josh Allen30%−2.5 pts35%none

C.J. Stroud17%+1.5 pts22%none

Lamar Jackson11%+0.5 pts14%none

Bo Nix10%—9%none

Cameron Ward8%—3%none

Malik Willis8%—2%none

Caleb Williams7%—10%none

Baker Mayfield6%—2%none

Jalen Hurts6%−1.5 pts7%none

Jayden Daniels5%+0.4 pts3%none

21 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Jared Goff76%65%−11

Trevor Lawrence68%58%−10

Brock Purdy67%65%−2

Joe Burrow66%50%−16

Matthew Stafford55%50%−5

Dak Prescott51%45%−6

+15 more options

AI analysts' average · Aaron Rodgers

48%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Joe Burrow: AI 50% vs market 66%, 16 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

21 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN21 levels openCloses Jan 27, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Dak Prescott 51%Bryce Young 48%Jordan Love 48%Aaron Rodgers 47%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

21 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Jared Goff76%−1.0 pts65%none

Trevor Lawrence68%+5.0 pts58%none

Brock Purdy67%+1.5 pts65%none

Joe Burrow66%—50%none

Matthew Stafford55%+1.0 pts50%none

Dak Prescott51%−9.5 pts45%none

Bryce Young48%—45%none

Jordan Love48%+5.0 pts48%none

Aaron Rodgers47%+7.0 pts48%none

Tyler Shough40%+2.5 pts43%none

Patrick Mahomes39%+9.0 pts50%none

Josh Allen30%−2.5 pts35%none

C.J. Stroud17%+1.5 pts22%none

Lamar Jackson11%+0.5 pts14%none

Bo Nix10%—9%none

Cameron Ward8%—3%none

Malik Willis8%—2%none

Caleb Williams7%—10%none

Baker Mayfield6%—2%none

Jalen Hurts6%−1.5 pts7%none

Jayden Daniels5%+0.4 pts3%none

21 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Jared Goff76%65%−11

Trevor Lawrence68%58%−10

Brock Purdy67%65%−2

Joe Burrow66%50%−16

Matthew Stafford55%50%−5

Dak Prescott51%45%−6

+15 more options

AI analysts' average · Aaron Rodgers

48%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Joe Burrow: AI 50% vs market 66%, 16 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

21 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

Related Markets

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts